California Democratic Primary update

Presidential nominees Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders have been recently feuding (Photo courtesy of Miami Herald)

By Theodore Von Bitner | Writer

January 24, 2020

The futuristic year of 2020 has arrived and with it a new run for the president, and a chance for the Democrats to take back the White House from the GOP.

Results of the 2016 Primary for context. Clinton 54%, and Sanders 46%

The Californian Democratic Primary takes place on Tuesday, March 3, alongside one of the 14 state primaries set to take place on “Super Tuesday”. The Californian primary is so far composed of 494 delegates out of which 415 have pledged to vote on the result basis of the primary. California having a semi-closed primary system means that non-Democratic party members can participate in the primary election. As a result it is expected that non-loyalist Democrats, especially Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vt) who is an Independent himself could potentially have an unseen advantage in the polls.

Until very recently former Vice President Joe Biden had been leading in the polls by single digits, however Sanders is poised to either remained tied with Biden or overtake him sometime in the future. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass) has slowly declined into 3rd place, while other candidates such as business magnate Mike Bloomberg, entrepreneur Andrew Yang, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana, are bound to stay insignificant in the grand scheme of the state primary.

Below is the updated (as of January 20) polls, including a Composite score, which is the candidates’ mean score.

Source Biden Sanders Bloomberg Warren Yang Buttigieg Etc.
270 to Win 26 25 6 18.3 4.5 7.3 12.9
RealClear 23.5 23.5 3.8 20.8 4.3 8.8 15.5
FiveThirtyEight 24.1 24.1 5.5 18.5 4.6 7.2 16.2
Survey USA 30 20 6 20 4 8 12
PPIC/Mercury 24 27 1 23 3 6 16
The Hill 25 29 7 12 5 8 13
Capitol Weekly 20 24 6 21 7 11 10
Composite 21.23 24.65 5.04 19.08 4.62 8.04 13.65
About Theodore Von Bitner 2 Articles
Theodore Von Bitner, Born July 23, 2002, I'm the weird kid in class who some how learned to write

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